Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 381.776962 433.152002 490.087586 558.073861 637.317146 727.086532 836.933347
2025-12-07 298.710982 364.483707 443.866878 547.554015 680.612969 847.254610 1074.314229
2025-12-14 254.702052 326.012749 417.100576 543.551532 717.033799 950.365516 1294.267563
2025-12-21 217.376842 288.539110 383.471507 521.658174 721.523793 1006.219674 1453.777513
2025-12-28 201.424898 276.448938 380.635376 539.184336 780.306306 1143.327077 1751.353296
2026-01-04 189.754084 268.328974 381.462163 560.736639 846.300530 1299.101278 2104.686358
2026-01-11 175.104681 253.947552 371.008326 563.070840 881.570705 1410.181753 2402.844286
2026-01-18 159.324545 236.084398 353.086837 550.903528 890.663339 1477.723067 2634.739674
2026-01-25 146.040109 220.684423 337.232971 539.819410 899.335585 1544.522703 2876.098892
2026-02-01 139.631351 215.421953 336.823884 554.203296 953.844808 1701.343676 3324.861770
2026-02-08 130.954995 205.657206 327.974914 552.701044 978.811303 1805.496166 3684.966903
2026-02-15 122.522341 195.548242 317.544370 547.042314 994.834606 1893.800842 4027.988472
2026-02-22 116.121592 188.504549 312.011174 550.255078 1029.564136 2027.992102 4513.167802
2026-03-01 108.280077 178.376270 300.198381 540.406116 1036.878313 2105.572837 4881.429763
2026-03-08 102.085939 170.630150 291.943208 536.437767 1055.643887 2211.065894 5346.170320
2026-03-15 94.064558 159.029881 275.673841 514.878481 1033.968381 2220.500545 5556.620644
2026-03-22 91.836568 157.743722 278.469560 532.138464 1099.668606 2447.274639 6435.207454
2026-03-29 90.200616 157.398037 282.972084 553.361581 1177.308937 2717.819177 7525.623317
2026-04-05 86.457599 152.807377 278.827628 555.660002 1210.966160 2882.251417 8337.334989
2026-04-12 81.442465 145.444777 268.623935 543.678924 1208.580303 2950.590803 8854.428511
2026-04-19 76.930048 138.765810 259.303402 532.763872 1207.468874 3022.489343 9407.559556
2026-04-26 75.256341 137.530944 260.970670 546.928253 1271.852469 3292.039665 10766.574264
2026-05-03 72.182516 133.305931 256.108297 545.448970 1295.351401 3446.739033 11748.442519